Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences

Randall M. Dole

Randall M. Dole

Research Interests

Dynamical extended-range prediction; extreme large-scale weather and climate events, e.g., major droughts and floods; storm track dynamics and baroclinic wave life cycles; tropical-midlatitude interactions.

Current Research

Short-term climate extremes and El Nino Southern Oscillation; influences of planetary scale deformation on storm tracks and low-frequency dynamics; development of prediction strategies for extreme large-scale weather and climate events.


Honors and Awards

  • Fellow, American Meteorological Society
  • NOAA Administrator's Award, "For outstanding leadership in and dedication to developing U.S. Climate Change Science Program Synthesis and Assessment Products integrating climate research for decision support."
  • Department of Commerce Bronze Medal Award, "For superior federal service for designing and implementing the consolidation of six research organizations in Boulder, Colorado into the new NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory."
  • Department of Commerce Bronze Medal Award, "For developing an integrated state, local and federal strategy for a National Integrated Drought Information System endorsed by the Western Governors' Association."

View Publications

  • Hoell, A, M Hoerling, J Eischeid, K Wolter, R Dole, J Perlwitz, TY Xu and LY Cheng (2016), Does El Nino intensity matter for California precipitation?. Geophys. Res. Lett. Version: 1 43 (2) 819-825, issn: 0094-8276, ids: DG4QG, doi: 10.1002/2015GL067102
  • Perlwitz, J, M Hoerling and R Dole (2015), Arctic Tropospheric Warming: Causes and Linkages to Lower Latitudes. J. Clim. Version: 1 28 (6) 2154-2167, issn: 0894-8755, ids: CD3MV, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00095.1
  • Wolter, K, M Hoerling, JK Eischeid, GJ van Oldenborgh, XW Quan, JE Walsh, TN Chase and RM Dole (2015), HOW UNUSUAL WAS THE COLD WINTER OF 2013/14 IN THE UPPER MIDWEST?. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc. Version: 1 96 (12) S10-S14, issn: 0003-0007, ids: DB4SL, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00126.1
  • Liebmann, B, MP Hoerling, C Funk, I Blade, RM Dole, D Allured, XW Quan, P Pegion and JK Eischeid (2014), Understanding Recent Eastern Horn of Africa Rainfall Variability and Change. J. Clim. Version: 1 27 (23) 8630-8645, issn: 0894-8755, ids: AW1NC, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00714.1
  • Hoerling, M, K Wolter, J Perlwitz, XW Quan, J Eischeid, HL Wang, S Schubert, H Diaz and R Dole (2014), NORTHEAST COLORADO EXTREME RAINS INTERPRETED IN A CLIMATE CHANGE CONTEXT. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc. Version: 1 95 (9) S15-S18, issn: 0003-0007, ids: AT3FD
  • Vose, RS, S Applequist, MKA Bourassa, SC Pryor, RJ Barthelmie, B Blanton, PD Bromirski, HOE Brooks, AT DeGaetano, RM Dole, DR Easterling, RE Jensen, TR Karl, RW Katz, K Klink, MC Kruk, KE Kunkel, MC MacCracken, TSC Peterson, K Shein, BR Thomas, JE Walsh, XLL Wang, MF Wehner, DJ Wuebbles and RS Young (2014), MONITORING AND UNDERSTANDING CHANGES IN EXTREMES. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc. Version: 1 95 (3) 377-386, issn: 0003-0007, ids: AG1TE, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00162.1
  • Dole, R, M Hoerling, A Kumar, J Eischeid, J Perlwitz, XW Quan, G Kiladis, R Webb, D Murray, MY Chen, K Wolter and T Zhang (2014), THE MAKING OF AN EXTREME EVENT. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc. Version: 1 95 (3) 427-440, issn: 0003-0007, ids: AG1TE, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00069.1
  • Waliser, D, K Weickmann, R Dole, S Schubert, O Alves, C Jones, M Newman, HL Pan, A Roubicek, S Saha, C Smith, H van den Dool, F Vitart, M Wheeler and J Whitaker (2006), The experimental MJO prediction project. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc. Version: 1 87 (4) 425-431, issn: 0003-0007, ids: 036CT, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-87-4-425
  • Hamill, TM, RS Schneider, HE Brooks, GS Forbes, HB Bluestein, M Steinberg, D Melendez and RM Dole (2005), The May 2003 extended tornado outbreak. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc. Version: 1 86 (4) 531-+, issn: 0003-0007, ids: 922HB, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-86-4-531
  • Chen, P, MP Hoerling and RM Dole (2001), The origin of the subtropical anticyclones. J. Atmos. Sci. Version: 1 58 (13) 1827-1835, issn: 0022-4928, ids: 450UK, doi: 10.1175/1520-0469(2001)058<1827:TOOTSA>2.0.CO;2
  • Black, RX and RM Dole (2000), Storm tracks and barotropic deformation in climate models. J. Clim. Version: 1 13 (15) 2712-2728, issn: 0894-8755, ids: 345JB
  • Wolter, K, RM Dole and CA Smith (1999), Short-term climate extremes over the continental united states and ENSO. Part I: Seasonal temperatures. J. Clim. Version: 1 12 (11) 3255-3272, issn: 0894-8755, ids: 250KX, doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(1999)012<3255:STCEOT>2.0.CO;2
  • Cai, M, JS Whitaker, RM Dole and KL Paine (1996), Dynamics of systematic errors in the NMC Medium Range Forecast model. Mon. Weather Rev. Version: 1 124 (2) 265-276, issn: 0027-0644, ids: UB902, doi: 10.1175/1520-0493(1996)124<0265:DOSEIT>2.0.CO;2
  • WHITAKER, JS and RM DOLE (1995), ORGANIZATION OF STORM TRACKS IN ZONALLY VARYING FLOWS. J. Atmos. Sci. Version: 1 52 (8) 1178-1191, issn: 0022-4928, ids: QV955, doi: 10.1175/1520-0469(1995)052<1178:OOSTIZ>2.0.CO;2
  • LYON, B and RM DOLE (1995), A DIAGNOSTIC COMPARISON OF THE 1980 AND 1988 US SUMMER HEAT WAVE-DROUGHTS. J. Clim. Version: 1 8 (6) 1658-1675, issn: 0894-8755, ids: RE737